Monmouth acknowledges poll showing Biden losing support was 'outlier'

September 2, 2020 Off By HotelSalesCareers

Monmouth University acknowledged Wednesday that a poll released this week showing former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE’s support dropping by 13 percent was an “outlier.”

Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University poll, said the result was the “product of the uncertainty that is inherent in the polling process” and that the survey’s particular issue “occurs very infrequently.”

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“In the end, we must put out the numbers we have,” Murray said in a statement. “They should always be viewed in the context of what other polls are saying, not only as it applies to the horse race, but also for our understanding of the issues that motivate voters in their decision-making process.”

Monday’s poll was the sixth national survey conducted by Monmouth University, which has an A-plus rating from the website FiveThirtyEight. Murray said the demographic and ideological profiles of its Democratic voter sample were “nearly identical” to its past polls and there were no other signs to “suggest that this sample was unusual.”

The survey interviewed 298 registered voters who identify as Democrats or Democratic-leaning from Aug. 16 to 20 and had a margin of error of 5.7 percentage points.

The poll released Monday garnered national headlines after showing a sharp slide for Biden and a virtual three-way tie between the former vice president and Sens. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.). Biden had consistently led in other national and statewide primary polling, though his advantage has shrunk in recent months.

The poll showed a particularly stark drop for Biden among Democrats who identify as either moderate or conservative, seeing his backing fall from 40 percent in June to 22 percent among a group that the former vice president is hoping will come out in force in the primary race.

Biden’s campaign was quick to underline Murray’s new statement, saying it supported their earlier claims that the Monday poll was an outlier.

“‘It is clear that the Monmouth University Poll published Monday is an outlier.’ <—- like we said it was. I hope networks cover this statement as aggressively as they covered the outlier poll,” Biden Senior Adviser Symone SandersSymone SandersThe Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden seeks to tamp down controversy over remarks about black support African American figures slam Biden on ‘you ain’t black’ comments Biden regrets remarks about black support: ‘I shouldn’t have been such a wise guy’ MORE tweeted.

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